Tech Fertilizes the Weeds in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (September 11, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 40.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 43.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2 1/2 week low)VIX = 31.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary The weeds in the stock market thickened last week. Tech stocks fertilized the … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Celebrates New Fed Inflation Policy – Above the 40 (August 28, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) is back to overbought (above 70%).

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 71.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 7 overbought trading days)AT200 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 23.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Last week was not a good time to be sitting on the sidelines … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Faces Down the Stimulus Stalemate – Above the 40 (August 14, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 76.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (6th day overbought)AT200 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 22.1Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary While the politicians in Washington D.C. play a game of chicken with the economy, the … Read more

Stock Market Buyers Counter Sellers With Their Own Line in the Sand – Above the 40 (May 15, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 14.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 31.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The week began with sellers finally drawing a line in the sand. The week ended with a counter from … Read more

Above the 40 (April 20, 2018) – The Stock Market Swings From Bullish Signs to Stop Signs

AT40 = 55.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 46.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.9 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Commentary The stock market faded from bullish undertones and back into the resting position. Now we can just look back at what … Read more

Above the 40 (November 10, 2017) – A Flash Resolution to Bearish Divergence

AT40 = 48.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 54.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 11.3 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary It was by the slimmest of margins, but the S&P 500 (SPY) finally ended a week with a loss. After 8 … Read more

Above the 40 (August 15, 2017) – The Retail Wreck Runs Over Strong Data

AT40 = 39.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.0 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Urban Outfitters (URBN) notwithstanding with its 19.5% after hours surge, Tuesday, August 15, 2017 was a signature day for the weakness engulfing … Read more

Above the 40 (August 3, 2017) – The S&P 500 Makes Another Bearish Divergence With A Fresh Twist

AT40 = 49.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 55.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 10.4 (volatility index) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary Here we go again. Last week, the S&P 500 slipped but did not fall off the edge. In my … Read more

Bullish Traders On IMAX Options Run Into Bad News

Interpreting the trading volume in options is typically difficult (I did an analysis in three parts last year). But I am most fascinated when a herd of speculators get caught leaning in the very wrong direction. This is what happened with IMAX. Schaeffer’s Research reported on heavy, bullish activity in the trading of IMAX options … Read more