Damage from the AI Trade Weighs on Market Breadth

The Percent of Stocks Above 50 Day Average (AT50) gapped to a 3-week high before fading sharply to a loss that maintained the primary downtrend.

The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Damage from the AI trade drove the NASDAQ to its worst weekly decline since June. A convergence of events and headlines has brought the market to another critical juncture, this time in the last of the stock market’s most dangerous months of the year. The renewed tech … Read more

A Slowly Changing Bearish Divergence – The Market Breadth

a slowly changing bearish divergence - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market tentatively moved away from oversold’s edge. While small caps clung to critical support, the equal weight S&P 500 rallied most of the week and even ended its primary downtrend. The supportive moves prevented market breadth from revisiting the prior week’s lows even as the … Read more

Tech Stocks Keep Winning, Market Breadth Failing

Tech Stocks Keep Winning, Market Breadth Failing

The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary High tech stocks keep winning as AI leadership carries the sector and the headline indices, but market breadth keeps failing including a steep downtrend all month. In the prior week, the AI trade hit a short speed bump on AI safety concerns, but last week’s rally confirmed … Read more

Fed Rate Hike Punishes Market Breadth While AI Stocks Rebound

Fed rate hike punishes market breadth as AI stocks rebound

The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more

Market Breadth’s Latest Warning As Oil, Inflation and Rates Rise

Market Breadth's Latest Warning As Oil, Inflation and Rates Rise

The Market Breadth Summary: Latest Warning The Stock Market Summary Rising oil prices dominated the trading backdrop last week. Soaring oil prices helped emphasize inflation fears and bolstered higher bond yields (rates). While the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ survived tests of critical support thanks in large part to strong rebounds in AI-related stocks, small … Read more