Bulls Explode Out of Oversold Trading Conditions – The Market Breadth

bulls explode out of oversold trading conditions

The bear market intrusion to the oversold period gave way to an explosion of bullish trading action this week. The maximum drawdown of October for the S&P 500 (SPY) was 4.0% well above the average for the month. This extreme move provided the perfect setup for the sharpness of the current oversold bounce. The rubber … Read more

Bad News Is the Good News That Flips Bears to Bulls – The Market Breadth

bad news is good news (Credit: Yi Chen, The Skeptical Chihuahua, Taipei, on Flickr)

Introduction I recorded a quick video to summarize my thoughts on today’s flip from bearish to bullish sentiment thanks to a bad news is good news kind of day. You can watch the video or read the transcript below curated, corrected, and organized by ChatGPT4 and then edited further by me. I am using this … Read more

A Seesaw Between Resistance and Support – The Market Breadth

seesaw (Credit: lovlibovli on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The stock market this month has teetered on a seesaw alternating from resistance to support. The rapid back and forth makes it too easy to overinterpret both ends of these swings. However, a slow and steady convergence of resistance and support levels portends a potential big move ahead. Active and high volume … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – Rubbernecking the Market’s Crashes and Accidents

Stock Market Commentary I earlier wrote about a promising divergence between anxiety and breadth in the stock market. However, I cannot help rubbernecking the market’s crashes and accidents. They tell dramatic stories about the folly in price action that can come with easy monetary policy and free money. The market goes through cycles of excitement … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – A Dramatic Week of Historic Price Swings

Stock Market Commentary Last week was full of dramatic price swings. Traders reacted in extreme ways to key earnings results. The wild behavior cascaded out to related stocks. Some of the collateral damage in the blast radius likely came from portfolio managers scrambling to rebalance holdings. I expect this kind of action to continue through … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews – A Telling Mosaic from All-Time Lows to Breakouts

Stock Market Commentary The stock market is scraping by just above oversold territory. The churn of last week has created a mosaic different trading conditions. The bears are salivating at the all-time lows. The hopefuls like me are finding slivers of opportunity in the breakouts. The stock charts in this review cover some of everything. … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Snapshots from A Manic Market

Stock Market Commentary In last week’s decision on monetary policy, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell directly and fully acknowledged inflationary pressures in the economy. Perhaps lost in the inflation buzz was Powell’s quick commentary on financial stability during the Q&A session: “…asset valuations are somewhat elevated, I would say.” Of course, various folks in the … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Snapshots from A Post-Oversold Divergence

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s dip into oversold territory lasted a day. Subsequent trading has carved out a new divergence. Big cap stocks like Apple (AAPL) and Microsoft (MSFT) helped bullrush the S&P 500 into an all-time high while a wide swath of stocks were left behind. Accordingly, market breadth is languishing again. The following stocks charts … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Snapshots from An Ugly Oversold Bounce

Stock Market Commentary The stock market rebounded out of oversold trading conditions but ended the week in ugly fashion. The combination produced fascinating snapshots of an ugly oversold bounce. Expensive growth stocks are rapidly falling out of favor while a convergence of negative headlines and uncertainties is painting plenty of ugly all over the stock … Read more

Stock Chart Reviews: Snapshots from the New Normal

Stock Market Commentary A new COVID-19 variant created a new normal for financial markets. The following stock charts provide snapshots of how the market reacted to this new reality. Pandemic-sensitive stocks reacted sharply with a holiday-shortened trading session creating extra urgency for traders. Some of these quick trigger moves should reverse at least a bit … Read more