PAIROS on Mythos: How AI May Boost the Value of Security Software

PAIROS - open hand

Anthropic’s Project Glasswing sent shudders through the world of cybersecurity as the launch of Mythos exposed catastrophic security flaws throughout the software ecosystem. The threat is so dire that the U.S. Treasury Secretary and the Federal Reserve Chair hastily convened banking leaders to make sure they are ready to secure the nation’s finances against these … Read more

Buy Dips: The Psychology of Post-Oversold Trading – The Market Breadth

buy dips - the psychology of post-oversold trading - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I made the case that a bottom was finally forming after five weeks of selling. The ceasefire announcement that was supposed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz let buyers run free and confirm that bottom. Wednesday’s resulting gap up created post-oversold trading conditions that tell … Read more

Introducing PAIROS: A Multifaceted Measure of AI’s Impact on Software Companies

PAIROS - open hand

Introduction I have been working on a framework to make sense of AI’s impact on the enterprise software industry. The ongoing SaaSpocalypse caused by an AI Panic has given this research extra urgency because I suspect the sell-off has created contrarian opportunities to buy impacted stocks for significant upside gains in coming years. I created … Read more

Finally, Key Signs of A Market Bottom – The Market Breadth

finally, key signs of a market bottom - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary After five straight down weeks, the stock market finally enjoyed an up week. The move looked strong enough to flash key signs of a bottom in the making. The last day of trading for the holiday shortened week was particularly telling. The stock market gapped lower at the … Read more

Oversold Conditions Not Enough for A War Weary Market – The Market Breadth

oversold not enough for a war weary market

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Uncertainty is the theme for this market, extreme uncertainty in geopolitics, economic conditions, monetary policy, and domestic politics. The accumulated uncertainty has made the market war weary and exhausted buyers. This exhaustion dampens the potential for oversold conditions to deliver a meaningful bounce in the stock market. For … Read more