ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market tentatively moved away from oversold’s edge. While small caps clung to critical support, the equal weight S&P 500 rallied most of the week and even ended its primary downtrend. The supportive moves prevented market breadth from revisiting the prior week’s lows even as the … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary In my previous housing market update, I described an enduring bear market in homebuilder stocks alongside weak sales, depressed builder sentiment, and constrained affordability. Unfortunately, that underlying story remains intact. Increasing pressure from higher mortgage rates, weakening builder sentiment, and stressed homebuilder stocks overshadows the month-over-month gains in housing starts … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Last week started with a major market tension: levitating major indices versus plunging market breadth. The week ended with little resolution as tech stocks, mostly AI-related, reaffirmed the bullish posture of the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ while bond yields maintained a persistent rally that imperils Friday’s … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary High tech stocks keep winning as AI leadership carries the sector and the headline indices, but market breadth keeps failing including a steep downtrend all month. In the prior week, the AI trade hit a short speed bump on AI safety concerns, but last week’s rally confirmed … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more