How to Protect Gains After Surviving A Stock Market Sell-Off

The stock market crash in March was stomach-churning and generated a lot of panic. At its lowest point, the S&P 500 (SPY) was down 33.9% from its all-time high set just the previous month. The rebound from that stock market sell-off has been heroic with a 32.1% gain taking the index within another 14.6% rally … Read more

Tesla: A Great Time for A Bollinger Band Squeeze

Tesla (TSLA) ended the week with a 5.1% gain as it coils in the middle of a growing Bollinger Band (BB) squeeze.

Technically Speaking “…the most technical trade in almost any instrument has got to be Telsa stock….Investors love the company…there are some long-term and substantial holders…who are not inclined to sell…” – Michael Khouw, CNBC, May 8, 2020 The technicals are the main way I have come to understand and appreciate Tesla (TSLA). Once again, the … Read more

Stock Market Lessons from Cramer In Turmoil

As I scrambled to write my update on a “suddenly oversold” market stock market, I listened to Jim Cramer’s Mad Money. Cramer is naturally entertaining, and I particularly like hearing his take at key market moments like these. On Tuesday, February 25th, Cramer was firmly in the bearish camp on his Mad Money show. He … Read more

Above the 40 (November 7, 2018) – Exclamation Points for the End of Oversold Trading Conditions

AT40 = 40.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Financial markets made their votes very clear after the U.S. 2018 midterm election. via GIPHY Apparently, today’s rally in the S&P 500 … Read more

How to Get Free Stock (An Offer from Robinhood)

{Updated on March 5, 2020 with a new offer link!} Robinhood – the easy-to-use, zero-commission trading platform popular with Millennials and stock market beginners – went from a valuation of $1.3B in March, 2017 to $5.6B in May, 2018 partially thanks to a major funding round that brought another $363M to the company’s coffers. Robinhood … Read more

Eyeing the Stock Market Disconnect As Optimism Keeps Blocking Bears

Nice Save Bears have taken numerous shots yet the bulls have consistently blocked them all. The S&P 500 (SPY) is barely off its all-time highs and has survived all number of setbacks. These setbacks seem to get more and more shallow. Monday, April 3rd, 2017 delivered another classic example. The morning began with very convincing … Read more

A Stock Market Positioned to Win A Battle of Sentiments: Taxation Versus Economic Optimism

On August 20, 2015, I wrote “A Broad and Bearish Breakdown for the Stock Market” that described a converging set of indicators which flagged short-term bearish conditions in the stock market. The post happened to precede the August, 2015 flash crash by two trading days. It was one of those moments when the technicals worked … Read more

Contradictions Embedded In the Calmest Market in 75 Years

On Monday, August 15, 2016, Nightly Business Report (NBR) started its daily broadcast by noting another triple of all-time highs across the major indices – the S&P 500 (SPY), the NASDAQ (QQQ), and the Dow Jones Industrials (DIA). From there, NBR marveled at what it called the calmest market in 75 years. The reporting was … Read more

T2108 Update (July 1, 2016) – Almost Like Nothing Happened: Trading Lessons from a Wild Week

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Anatomy of A Bottom: Do Not Argue With Sellers – Celebrate With Buyers

So often I see “value investors” who equate the conviction of their position and alacrity of their analysis for being able to pick a bottom in a hapless stock. If the bottom fails, sometimes these investors will continue accumulating stock with each buy delivering the welcome opportunity to lower their cost basis. Meanwhile, losses keep … Read more