Bitcoin: A False $12K Breakout Creates the Pause That Refreshes

Trees do not grow to the sky – even cryptocurrency trees with Bitcoin leaves. The old adage describes a core rule of the physics of price momentum. Whether buying or selling, traders and investors eventually exhaust themselves – whether existing resources are too low to maintain buying pressure or motivated sellers finally run out of … Read more

Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is surging through a long overdue breakout of the $10,000 level.

The U.S. Dollar Index Breaks Down The U.S. dollar broke down last week. The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low. Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast thanks to the U.S. dollar’s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is joining the party. Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar … Read more

Bitcoin: Latest Price Failures Plant Me On the Sidelines

Price Failures The furious rally in Bitcoin (BTC/USD) from the March lows helped take my mind off the on-going downtrend in price. Since the last major peak in price at $13,880 on June 26, 2019, BTC/USD has made a series of lower highs and lower lows. The last peak in price was on May 7th … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: March Losses Behind, $10K Ahead

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is surging after a convincing 200DMA breakout.

The Bitcoin Price Breakout Bitcoin (BTC/USD) wiped away my wariness about the price action with one clean breakout that finished a reversal of March’s steep losses. For about five days, Bitcoin was teasing its way toward a challenge of overhead resistance at its downtrending 200-day moving average (DMA). During the previous day, Bitcoin gained about … Read more

Bitcoin Faces New Challenge Near A Reversal of Its March Crash

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has had an interesting – and surprising – relationship with the recent crash in financial markets. Bitcoin fell 39.1% on March 12th just as the crash was accelerating. The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to sell off for another week and a half after Bitcoin crashed. By the time the S&P 500 bottomed Bitcoin … Read more

The Time Bitcoin Failed to Work

If there were ever a time for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) to soar, the Coronavirus-inspired sell-off in global financial markets should be that time. The cryptocurrency increased 6.7% this week, but that gain did not even finish reversing the last big down day on February 26th when the U.S. stock market dropped into oversold territory. BTCUSD is … Read more

Bitcoin: A Trading Note for Breakouts, 10K and the Halving

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke out from a downtrend in late January but hit a wall at upper resistance last week.

The Price Action Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is on more media radars after breaking out above $10,000 last week. Last month, Bitcoin broke out from a downtrend in place since the last big run-up peaked in June, 2019. The $10K breakout ran into a wall from resistance formed by the high when Bitcoin suddenly spiked straight up … Read more

Bitcoin: Waning Interest Weighing Down the Price

The Price Action The excitement did not last. On October 25th and 26th, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) soared out of nowhere, and it interrupted my expectation for an imminent opportunity to accumulate for Bitcoin in the $6500-7000 range. That opportunity is finally here as a month-long slide accelerates. Wavering Signals from The Google Trends Momentum Check The … Read more

A Breakdown in the Google Trend Momentum Check Signaled A Bitcoin Breakdown

The “imminent launchpad” I expected for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) prices over a month ago quickly turned into a capsized boat. At the time, Bitcoin was pivoting around its 50-day moving average (DMA). In the week after my last post on Bitcoin prices and the Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC), the GTMC broke the low from June … Read more

The Google Trend Momentum Check Points to Next Launchpad for Bitcoin

This weekly view of Google Trends for Bitcoin shows a steady uptrend featuring higher highs and higher lows since Bitcoin broke out in April.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) made a major peak on June 26th. Since then, the cryptocurrency has pivoted around its 50-day moving average (DMA). Three breakdowns of that line of support have been met with buyers which suggests to me that Bitcoin is consolidating a launchpad for imminently higher prices. The Google Trend Momentum Check (GTMC) supports my … Read more