ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Well, it had to happen. I did not know when, how, or just how bad it would be, but at some point the stock market had to cool off. This past week delivered a cooling of all coolings as bears decided to seize the narrative back from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Last week, retail and software stocks ignited, and the usual AI-related suspects also participated in the rally. Yet the advance unfolded beneath persistently weak market breadth, leaving a notable disconnect between price action and participation. The software rally is particularly interesting and gratifying to me given I … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary This is the week I finally had to turn bearish on the stock market. The warning signs have piled up too high for me to continue ignoring them. The momentum in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ has been incredibly strong, and that momentum kept me from making this call earlier. However, … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary There are no dips allowed in this stock market. A week ago, I labelled the trading environment as “buy-the-dips” because of the psychology of post-oversold trading. Those dips turned out to be hard to find. Only day traders could notice any weakness in the price action. The stock … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I am risk off in the coming week because market breadth failed twice at the overbought level. One failure is enough to make me cautious, but two tells me that the market is fighting too hard just to go higher. Moreover, earnings season is in full swing. For … Read more