ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Nearly Broke The Stock Market Summary I am surprised that the stock market ended the week as well as it did given that early in the week rising interest rates nearly broke market breadth. Rising treasury yields followed higher oil prices and a worldwide sell-off in sovereign debt. The benchmark U.S. … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Gold Shined The Stock Market Summary Gold shined as money rotated away from tech and retail, market breadth cooled, and energy, healthcare, crypto, and precious metals took the spotlight. The U.S. Treasury’s intervention in the government bond market helped weakened the U.S. dollar and ignited gold. The specter of the government … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Breakout The Stock Market Summary The AI crash from July 29th feels like a distant memory. The subsequent breakout to all-time highs quickly erased the sting and returned the market to a rally that knows no obstacles. Now, market breadth has broken out and further confirmed the market’s underlying bullishness. Various … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more