ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Uncertainty is the theme for this market, extreme uncertainty in geopolitics, economic conditions, monetary policy, and domestic politics. The accumulated uncertainty has made the market war weary and exhausted buyers. This exhaustion dampens the potential for oversold conditions to deliver a meaningful bounce in the stock market. For … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I claimed that the stock market was all about oil. Now the stock market is all about war. Oil prices are up because of the war by the U.S. and Israel against Iran. An even larger issue is the cascade of impacts from an escalating … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Oil prices loom over financial markets. Oil prices are being driven largely by whether the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed following Iran’s retaliation against attacks by the U.S. and Israel. The inverse correlation over the last two weeks has been clear: oil prices up, stock prices down … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Market fears expanded last week as converging headwinds took their toll on a market that insists on buying every dip. The best example of buying persistence came with the market’s first regular trading session after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. The S&P 500 gapped down at Monday’s … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more