ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
In April I launched PAIROS, the Panic AI Research On Software, to provide a structured approach for assessing my (contrarian) investment thesis in software companies heavily impacted by the SaaSpocalypse. Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) first emerged as a high conviction pick after the company’s release of its agentic AI platform called Rovo and next after a related PAIROS … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Rebound The Stock Market Summary The stock market rapidly transitioned from an AI crash to all-time highs in less than one week. Strong earnings revived the AI trade, software joined the advance, and the major indices pushed back toward their all-time highs. Momentum faded in the middle of the week … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Technology finally cracked under the weight of multiple pressure points. The biggest catalyst came from the AI spending race as companies such as Intel and Alphabet made it clear that they intend to continue increasing capital expenditures (capex) to remain competitive. Investors responded by focusing on the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Just like many of you, I have been glued to the World Cup drama. I have been rooting for the United States and several other countries, and it got me thinking about how much the stock market resembles a soccer match: pass, rotate, advance. The current stock … Read more