A Month of Melt-Up Vanished In One Day of Tariff Anguish – The Market Breadth

a month of melt-up vanished in one day of tariff anguish

Stock Market Commentary China and the U.S. have an unstable relationship. Each country needs the other and yet they cannot co-exist peacefully in the global economic or political sphere, especially when nativist flames and security alarms are burning brightly. That lingering instability came to prominence one more time after trade negotiations broke down (yet again) … Read more

From Fragile to Fearless: The Market’s Return to Overbought Territory – The Market Breadth

from fragile to fearless - the market's return to overbought territory

Stock Market Commentary In just three months, the stock market has transformed from fragile to fearless. Friday’s return to overbought territory, on the heels of another jobs report that beat “consensus expectations”, underlined the market’s fearless bullishness. The jobs report made imminent rate cuts even less likely. Along with that prospect, bond yields nudged higher … Read more

Market Calm Shattered – Tariff Shock Hits S&P’s Critical Support – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) confirmed overbought resistance and closed the gap higher from the China trade war ceasefire. This rejection is bearish by itself but support for the indices remains intact.

Stock Market Commentary A market calm emerged thanks to a pause on reciprocal tariffs and then a ceasefire in the US vs China trade war. This market calm shattered as a new tariff shock came in the form of President Trump threatening the European Union (EU) with a 50% tariff while at the same time … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish – The Market Breadth

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish

Stock Market Commentary We made it through another week without any major negative headlines impacting the stock market. Although late-breaking news took futures down due to Moody’s dropping the U.S. from its top credit rating, marking the loss of the last top-tier assessment of U.S. government debt, I expect the market impact to be minimal. … Read more

In A Bear Market There Is NO SUPPORT! – The Market Breadth

In A Bear Market There Is No Support

Stock Market Commentary There is no support in a bear market. The market is extremely volatile, and conditions are changing daily. The market is showing clear signs of weakness, with all major trends pointing downward. The mixed messages from yesterday (Thursday) are converging more clearly on the messages of a bear market. The long-term, mid-term, … Read more