Ugly, Breaking Down, but Oversold – The Market Breadth

oversold, ugly and breaking down (Credit: Duet AI)

Stock Market Commentary At the end of September, I asked skeptically whether an oversold bounce could prevent an October swoon. As I suspected at the time, the answer turned out to be no. The market-moving headlines for October have included weighty, tragic, and alarming news making for a demotivating trading environment. An oversold bounce earlier … Read more

An October Extreme Sets Up A Bullish Start to the Market’s Strong Season – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) bounced back from September’s woes for a 6.9% gain for the month of October. While the gain is extreme, I am even more interested in a different October extreme. Somehow, the index managed to skate through October without a notable drawdown. The maximum drawdown in October for the … Read more

Fades and Breakdowns Contradict The Calm of the S&P 500 – Above the 40 (May 7, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market is a cauldron of contradictions and divergences. Breakdowns below key support levels abound. Stocks suffer post-earnings fades even after companies report strong results, especially in both beaten up growth stocks and resilient big cap tech. Yet, the S&P 500 just rises above the steady erosion of market breadth with … Read more

Stock Buyers Break Important Downtrend Only to Get Stymied Again – Above the 40 (April 30, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary Last week featured an intense barrage of earnings reports. The collective response on the major indices was a major yawn. The S&P 500 finished flat for the week. The NASDAQ and the iShares Trust Russell 2000 Index ETF both softened by 0.4%. Financials were a notable exception as the Financial Select Sector … Read more

ReneSola Finally Broke the Bank

ReneSola (SOL) is down 64.9% from its near 10-year high set in January. The company celebrated that high by announcing a secondary stock offering…its fifth in 4 months. SOL came back stronger and better from the first four secondaries of the series. The fifth secondary stock offering finally broke the bank (meaning ReneSola overwhelmed the … Read more

Stocks Hold A Tenuous Grip On Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (January 15, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary A liquidity-driven bounce off support took a small breather last week. The major stock market indices ended the week with a small loss. On the way there, overbought trading conditions ended for a day. As the major indices languished, the stock market dipped in and out of overbought conditions on an intraday … Read more

T2108 Update (January 7, 2016) – Oversold and Dangerous Redux

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Some Bullish Solar Stock Setups

November 16, 2015 was a strange trading day as U.S. stock markets rallied in the wake of the horrific terrorist attacks in Paris. There were really big moves in even some big cap stocks. The S&P 500 (SPY) reversed all of its losses on Friday and then some. This is the strong and supportive context … Read more

T2108 Upate (November 10, 2015) – A Deceptively Calm Market Day

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A “January Comeback” Trade for Solar Stocks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The concern for some solar investors going into December was that solar stocks were being unfairly sold off in sympathy with plunging oil prices. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com In early December, I … Read more