ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Housing Market Intro and Summary While Congressional passage of landmark housing legislation positively changed sentiment toward home builders, the underlying housing data continues to point toward stasis. Only existing home sales showed life in May while all the other indicators deteriorated or remained flattish. A decline in builder sentiment for May suggests that housing data … Read more
CEO Sam Altman launched OpenAI’s DevDay 2025 with a series of demos showing off the generative AI platform’s latest capabilities. I was particularly intrigued by demonstrations of features developed in partnership with several companies including Figma (FIG), Spotify (SPOT), Hubspot (HUBS), Coursera (COUR), and Zillow Group (ZG) (links go to the relevant section of the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary After a month of churning, market breadth is wavering again. This slip is just about the only sign that the market cares at all about looming risks from a potential government shutdown. Even the volatility index (VIX) dropped 8.6% on Friday and remains just below where it closed right before the tariff … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary Of all the November housing data, housing starts provided the clearest support for the sharp rebound in the stocks of home builders the last two months. In parallel, builder sentiment has likely bottomed in anticipation of the positive impact of falling mortgage rates. On the other hand, existing home sales … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary The October housing data showed some further softening, including a revision of the new home sales data that erased a breakout. Yet, November was a blockbuster month for launching the seasonal strength in the stocks of home builders. Many of these stocks hit all-time highs in a race ahead of … Read more