ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was action-packed. Earnings dominated my focus, and the resulting trading action confirmed why it was important to ignore the bearish signals from market breadth last week. The market is as bullish as ever this year at the index level, even though market breadth still stains the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I claimed that the stock market was all about oil. Now the stock market is all about war. Oil prices are up because of the war by the U.S. and Israel against Iran. An even larger issue is the cascade of impacts from an escalating … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Chaotic trading continued last week. Some segments of the market are doing extremely poorly and other segments of the market that are doing extremely well. A market rotation has turned into stark divergence hidden by major indices which are mainly thrashing about. I see three major signals. One, … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Market rotation is improving participation, but a fresh warning from market breadth keeps me cautious. Small caps and defensives are attracting capital while tech weakness quietly undermines leadership. I remain neutral after AT50 reversed from overbought levels, issuing a fresh warning despite bullish index trends. The disconnect between strong indices and … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Major U.S. equity indices extended gains after a strong end to November, supported by expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Market breadth indicators (AT50, AT200) improved but failed at primary downtrend resistance, signaling lingering internal weakness. Small caps (IWM) outperformed with a breakout to all-time highs, while several major tech … Read more