ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market tentatively moved away from oversold’s edge. While small caps clung to critical support, the equal weight S&P 500 rallied most of the week and even ended its primary downtrend. The supportive moves prevented market breadth from revisiting the prior week’s lows even as the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Finally the bears break in on all the fun the bulls have had for months. The stock market got overwhelmed with a flood of bad news that was just too difficult to ignore or look through (for now). The July jobs report was not just weak but also it included a massive … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s fearless streak met fresh geopolitical headwinds that significantly raised the risk quotient. Tensions surged as Israel bombarded Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and Iran retaliated, spiking oil prices and triggering a market sell-off that, while sharp, could have and should have been a lot worse. This fresh market risk is a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week marked an important shift as the stock market experienced overdue relief. Most notably, there were no major headlines causing significant disruptions in financial markets. Instead, the market continued the theme of recovery from the previous week, driven by policymakers pivoting their messaging about the economic chaos triggered by policies and … Read more