Stock Market Bears Finally Draw A Line In the Sand – Above the 40 (May 12, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) sell through the overbought threshold for the second time in a week.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 64.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 3-day overbought period)AT200 = 15.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 33.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are still becoming ever more distinct in the stock market, but today stock … Read more

A $2.3 Trillion End to An Extreme Oversold Period in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (April 10, 2020)

AT40 = 24.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 31-day oversold period)AT200 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.7Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary “The Federal Reserve on Thursday took additional actions to provide up to $2.3 trillion in loans to support … Read more

A Stock Market Hunkered Down After Green Shoots Slam Into New Downtrend – Above the 40 (April 3, 2020)

AT40 = 4.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (28th oversold day)AT200 = 5.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 46.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary First, another dose of hope and a light reminder of the seriousness of … Read more

A Stock Market Pivot Around Overbought As Indices Fail At Highs – Above the 40 (September 20, 2019)

AT40 = 69.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 56.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (13-month high)VIX = 15.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A Broken Record Last week had some big moments. Looking back, the week looks like a broken record. The Federal Reserve … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: January, 2015 Edition – Soaring Optimism

At the time of writing Apple (AAPL) is down 1.6% in sympathy with a poor reaction to Microsoft’s (MSFT) that included warnings about the impact of the strong U.S. dollar (UUP). The drop has formed a bearish “abandoned baby top” kind of technical pattern just as the stock has dropped below the 50-day moving average … Read more

Valuations On High-Flying Internet-Related Stocks Continue to Race Upward

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) This post rides piggyback on a recent Seeking Alpha Market Current quoting concerns from Art Cashin (formerly featured on CNBC) regarding “a bubble in cloud/mobile tech names” and is a follow-up … Read more

Apple Breaks Down But Reasons to Expect Future Upside Remain

The 200-day moving average (DMA) has been Apple’s friend since the stock bounced from its March, 2009 lows. A break during June, 2011 was short-lived and the stock survived two more tests of this critical long-term support later that year. Starting in January of this year, Apple (AAPL) pulled sharply away from its 200DMA until … Read more

Chart Review Update: Netflix Surge Closes Post-Earnings Gap Down

Just last week, I noted how Netflix (NFLX) neatly confirmed a bearish abandoned baby top with another earnings implosion. However, I did not discuss in more detail the implications of the stock’s strong bounce from its lows on the day although I tweeted about it. The following day, NFLX had a strong day marginally closing … Read more

A Rare and Important Test for Apple’s Recently Underperforming Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Before Apple (AAPL) reported earnings, I reviewed the tea leaves in the chart guessing that the stock was getting ready to make its next sprint higher despite what looked like increasing distribution in the stock. … Read more

Microsoft and Intel Continue to Diverge

I was clearly far too early in restarting a pairs trade short Microsoft (MSFT) and long Intel (INTC). Over the past two months, the performance of MSFT has steadily improved, while Intel’s performance has steadily worsened. The MSFT/INTC ratio is now at 10 month highs. Source: stockcharts.com Typically, I would look at this divergence and … Read more