ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary A great stock market divergence clarified itself last week. Growth stocks, especially the expensive and/or speculative kind, took a back seat to industrial and consumer names and other stocks primed to benefit most from the global economies reopening on a fresh wave of liquidity. This divergence renders a generalized view of the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The recent bearish divergence in the stock market resolved to the downside in a big way. Breakdowns rippled throughout the stock market even as numerous micro-bubbles soared in the opposite direction. A volatility surge clarified the new bearish turn in sentiment. In the “background”, the Federal Reserve rolled out its latest pronouncement … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The Presidential inauguration is a hallowed American tradition. The stock market celebrated the incoming Biden and Harris administration with new all-time highs on good trading volume. The start of a new American administration is as good a time as any to back down from my recent short-term bearish call. While this overbought … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (Day #1 overbought, 3 of last 4 days ooverbought) AT200 = 68.1%% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 3-year high and holding breakout above post financial crisis downtrend) VIX = 23.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 26.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 44.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 38.0 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary A little over a week ago, the stock market looked poised to launch higher … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 71.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 7 overbought trading days)AT200 = 46.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 23.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Last week was not a good time to be sitting on the sidelines … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 60.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 7 overbought trading days)AT200 = 42.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 22.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 32.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Last week started with a growl and ended quietly. The stock market quickly transitioned from confirming a bearish … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 68.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 5 days overbought, over 70%)AT200 = 25.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 35.1Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary When the NBA suspended/cancelled its basketball season in March, I wrote about how … Read more
Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more