ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I have been making the case for months that the AI trade is topping. This last week’s price action added yet more confirmation. While the NASDAQ dropped 2% for the week, nine of the eleven S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by healthcare, materials, and utilities. That … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Latest Warning The Stock Market Summary Rising oil prices dominated the trading backdrop last week. Soaring oil prices helped emphasize inflation fears and bolstered higher bond yields (rates). While the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ survived tests of critical support thanks in large part to strong rebounds in AI-related stocks, small … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary After months of bearish market breadth, the downtrend ended with a surprising bullish divergence. The stock market quickly transitioned from a bearish to bullish divergence thanks to a rotation away from high tech and AI-related stocks and into small caps, consumer-facing stocks, and others. Micron Technology’s earnings … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more