ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market finds itself in a place I did not fully anticipate, even as recently as my last market check-in. Market breadth is rebounding as I suspected it might, and the recovery increasingly looks like a bottoming process. Yet the recovery is leaving behind the once-dominant … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary High tech stocks keep winning as AI leadership carries the sector and the headline indices, but market breadth keeps failing including a steep downtrend all month. In the prior week, the AI trade hit a short speed bump on AI safety concerns, but last week’s rally confirmed … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Latest Warning The Stock Market Summary Rising oil prices dominated the trading backdrop last week. Soaring oil prices helped emphasize inflation fears and bolstered higher bond yields (rates). While the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ survived tests of critical support thanks in large part to strong rebounds in AI-related stocks, small … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Technology finally cracked under the weight of multiple pressure points. The biggest catalyst came from the AI spending race as companies such as Intel and Alphabet made it clear that they intend to continue increasing capital expenditures (capex) to remain competitive. Investors responded by focusing on the … Read more