Stock Market Support Melts Away, Delays Launch to Higher Prices – Above the 40 (October 26, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 46.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (8-month high) VIX = 32.5 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked like it was warming up from a period of cooling … Read more

Oversold Stock Market Conditions End With An Immediate Challenge – Above the 40 (September 25, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 23.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 2-day oversold period)AT200 = 38.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 26.4Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The oversold period lasted just two days, a typical length of time for oversold periods. … Read more

Stock Market Makes A Case for A Parabolic Run-Up – Above the 40 (September 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 67.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs)AT200 = 49.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 26.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary Perhaps I will be sitting on the sidelines of the last 10%+ higher in the stock market. The … Read more

A Two-Speed Stock Market Remains on Edge – Above the 40 (July 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 53.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 34.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market the previous week looked strong enough to eventually take trading conditions … Read more

Above the 40 (October 18, 2018) – A Second Oversold Period Gives 200DMAs A Fresh Challenge

AT40 = 15.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 2nd day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 33.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (up 6 percentage points) VIX = 20.1 (15% increase) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The 200-day moving averages (DMAs) still … Read more

Above the 40 (March 23, 2018) – A Stock Market From Another Planet: Yet Another Oversold Test Looms

AT40 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 37.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (2-year closing low) VIX = 24.9 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary On Friday, President Trump characterized the pre-Trump stock market as something “from another planet.” Surely he meant the last … Read more

T2108 Update (December 8, 2015) – A Mild Down Day Hides Expanded Market Weakness

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (July 24, 2015) – Bearish Signs Accumulate Just Above Oversold Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Chart Review: AAPL Not Over Hump, AMZN Launches Again, BBY 3-Year Highs, SKUL Breakout, And More

This chart review covers the following stocks Apple (AAPL), Amazon.com (AMZN), Best Buy (BBY), Skull Candy (SKUL), Priceline.com (PCLN), Hewlett-Packard (HPQ), and Caterpillar (CAT). Apple (AAPL) In retrospect, last Monday’s plunge now looks like some kind of “manipulation.” The stock plunged 3.2% on no immediate news so the selling looked like follow-through to the previous … Read more

T2108 Update – March 14, 2012 (Surprise #1: Very Large Drop in T2108; Crying Over Apple)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 63% VIX Status: 15.3% … Read more