ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was bullish, and yet the bearish signal that bothered me early in the year returned. Market breadth flashed bearish even as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ broke out to all-time highs. This bearish divergence is exactly the setup I did not want to see. The … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary After five straight down weeks, the stock market finally enjoyed an up week. The move looked strong enough to flash key signs of a bottom in the making. The last day of trading for the holiday shortened week was particularly telling. The stock market gapped lower at the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I switched to “risk off” and cautiously bearish in late January. The subsequent bearish trading action unfolded mainly “under the hood” of the major indices from late January through the beginning of last week, before accelerated selling emerged. A major market rotation away from tech stocks started before … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I am risk off in the coming week because market breadth failed twice at the overbought level. One failure is enough to make me cautious, but two tells me that the market is fighting too hard just to go higher. Moreover, earnings season is in full swing. For … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Market liquidity fears intensified across equities and crypto as market breadth continued to deteriorate. The major stock market indices confirmed bearish technical breakdowns. Major AI and tech stocks confirmed weakening momentum. The week ended with a relief rally after rate-cut expectations surged with Fed Governor Williams teasing a possible December easing. … Read more