Atlassian Is Poised to Survive the SaaSpocalypse

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) has lost nearly half its value in just the first 6 weeks of 2026 and now trades at prices last seen in December, 2018.

The SaaSpocalypse, or what I sometimes generally call the AI Panic, is a watershed investing event. Whole fortunes are stumbling down a path of destruction in this moment. Yet, the survivors of this indiscriminate selling will yield tremendous returns in coming years. Panic does not distinguish between fragile business models and structurally durable platforms. In … Read more

The Market Is Thrashing – Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous: The Market Breadth

The Market Is Thrashing - Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Chaotic trading continued last week. Some segments of the market are doing extremely poorly and other segments of the market that are doing extremely well. A market rotation has turned into stark divergence hidden by major indices which are mainly thrashing about. I see three major signals. One, … Read more

Jumia’s Operating Leverage Establishes the Path to Profitable Scaling

Jumia’s Operating Leverage Establishes the Path to Profitable Scaling

Jumia Technologies (JMIA) reported strong Q4 2025 results. At the same time, the company is entering another important phase in its development as scale and economics align more visibly within the business model. On a year-over-year basis: The headline numbers are strong, but the more important development is structural. Operating Leverage Takes Center Stage In … Read more

Breakdowns + Pullbacks = Risk Off Again – The Market Breadth

Breakdowns + Pullbacks = Risk Off Again

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The first month of the new year ended in an eventful fashion with significant news both good and bad, sometimes abrupt. The bad news convinced me to go risk off again as breakdowns and pullbacks weighed heavily on individual stocks. The major indices hid the extent of the … Read more

What Happened In the Housing Market: Stuck

What Happened to the Housing Market

Housing Market Intro and Summary The U.S. housing market ended 2025 with mixed signals. Builder stocks are stuck in trading ranges, builder confidence has stalled, and affordability remains strained. Pockets of strength in sales activity is likely coming from a softening price environment and higher inventory levels. The data points do not tell a single, … Read more