ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Last week, retail and software stocks ignited, and the usual AI-related suspects also participated in the rally. Yet the advance unfolded beneath persistently weak market breadth, leaving a notable disconnect between price action and participation. The software rally is particularly interesting and gratifying to me given I … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Early in the week, the market looked ready to confirm a deeper bearish phase as market breadth broke down and selling accelerated. I felt validated in my bearish call for the first two days of the week. However, the bears quickly lost the narrative from there. Buyers … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The Supreme Court finally issued a judgement on the President’s tariffs enacted under the cover of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). In a 6-3 decision, the court invalidated the tariffs thus making them illegal. The news came first thing Friday morning and injected a little bit … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The week closed with strong speculative energy, particularly in crypto, with the signing of a package of crypto legislation including a stablecoin bill. Surprisingly, the speculative frenzy did not translate into the overall stock market beyond a few select stocks like OpenDoor (OPEN). In fact, the major indices mainly had a steady … Read more
Stock Market Commentary And so a bear market ends, for the S&P 500 at least. The stock market enjoyed a strong follow-through day supported by previous oversold conditions. To represent the most recent technical developments, I created a well-defined area for the bear market called the “area of agitation”. The S&P 500’s breakout above this … Read more