ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Early in the week, the market looked ready to confirm a deeper bearish phase as market breadth broke down and selling accelerated. I felt validated in my bearish call for the first two days of the week. However, the bears quickly lost the narrative from there. Buyers … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Market liquidity fears intensified across equities and crypto as market breadth continued to deteriorate. The major stock market indices confirmed bearish technical breakdowns. Major AI and tech stocks confirmed weakening momentum. The week ended with a relief rally after rate-cut expectations surged with Fed Governor Williams teasing a possible December easing. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Media coverage of bubble talk in AI has become increasingly urgent and loud in recent months. Legendary short seller Michael Burry seemed to ring the clarion call when news dropped on Tuesday (November 4) about a massive bearish bet against NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). NVDA fell 4.0% that day. The downward … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The month of August featured three distinctly strong expansions of market breadth. The last expansion featured the largest single-day expansion I have ever seen. In between these episodes, the market showed signs of exhaustion. The latest exhaustion is centered on the AI trade. NVDA earnings slightly disappointed and included slowing revenue growth … Read more