ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I have been making the case for months that the AI trade is topping. This last week’s price action added yet more confirmation. While the NASDAQ dropped 2% for the week, nine of the eleven S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by healthcare, materials, and utilities. That … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Damage from the AI trade drove the NASDAQ to its worst weekly decline since June. A convergence of events and headlines has brought the market to another critical juncture, this time in the last of the stock market’s most dangerous months of the year. The renewed tech … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Broke Sharply The Stock Market Summary The S&P 500 rose fractionally for the week and hid some large market catalysts under the surface. Market breadth broke sharply from the S&P 500 with a large loss and return to the bottom of a trading range. A bearish breakdown in small caps provided … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Gold Shined The Stock Market Summary Gold shined as money rotated away from tech and retail, market breadth cooled, and energy, healthcare, crypto, and precious metals took the spotlight. The U.S. Treasury’s intervention in the government bond market helped weakened the U.S. dollar and ignited gold. The specter of the government … Read more