A Two-Speed Stock Market Remains on Edge – Above the 40 (July 2, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 53.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 34.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market the previous week looked strong enough to eventually take trading conditions … Read more

Crash Culture – A Warning In Negative Oil Prices – Above the 40 (April 20, 2020)

AT40 = 30.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 43.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The culture of collapse that has accompanied the coronavirus pandemic reached new lows. The on-going collapse in oil prices reached new … Read more

T2108 Update (December 8, 2015) – A Mild Down Day Hides Expanded Market Weakness

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

First Solar Cashes Some Chips At A Good Time

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) First Solar (FSLR) has run an “intriguing” script since making an all-time low last August… {snip} The offering of shares is of course well-timed given the run-up. With its currency this … Read more

Chart Review: Goldman Sachs Breaks Out In Style

Goldman Sachs (GS) has been on a tear lately. Since breaking out on September 5th, the stock is up about 11%. The first three days of the breakout move featured strong volume, above the moving 90-day average. GS is now challenging a major resistance area formed by a head and shoulders type pattern from 2012’s … Read more

Chart Review: JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs Break Down

T2107, the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200-day moving averages has been in decline since reaching a quick post-recession peak in late 2009. It is one sign that fewer and fewer strong stocks are supporting the overall stock market. So when the indicator takes a fresh plunge to the downside, I sit up … Read more

Chart Review: Breakout Confirmed for Goldman Sachs

Every now and then I see a chart that undermines my expectation for an imminent pullback in the general market. This time, Goldman Sachs (GS) delivered the reluctant surprise. Today, the stock surged 5.2% to fresh 6-month highs. Source: FreeStockCharts.com This is what I had to say about GS in late January during a comprehensive … Read more

Chart Review: Stock Recoveries, Critical Resistance, and Emerging Breakouts

The current extended overbought period has produced many amazing chart patterns. In this chart review, I am highlighting some charts I find particularly interesting and compelling. There are impressive recoveries, stocks dancing with critical resistance, and emerging breakouts. Some charts are quite telling in that they completely contradict the presumed economic disaster from an imminent … Read more

T2108 Update – December 20, 2011 (Cycle Forming New Trading Bottom?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 47% VIX Status: 23 … Read more

Chart Review: Bottom in Jeopardy for Goldman Sachs

In late October, I claimed that Goldman Sachs (GS) had finally found a bottom after two years of mostly declining prices. It has been all downhill for GS ever since. The chart below shows the signals I used to decide GS had finally printed a bottom. Note that on November 9, GS sliced cleanly and … Read more