Bears Seize the Narrative – The Market Breadth

bears seize the narrative - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Well, it had to happen. I did not know when, how, or just how bad it would be, but at some point the stock market had to cool off. This past week delivered a cooling of all coolings as bears decided to seize the narrative back from … Read more

Exhaustion Appears in Key Parts of the Market – The Market Breadth

exhaustion appears in key parts of the market

Stock Market Commentary The month of August featured three distinctly strong expansions of market breadth. The last expansion featured the largest single-day expansion I have ever seen. In between these episodes, the market showed signs of exhaustion. The latest exhaustion is centered on the AI trade. NVDA earnings slightly disappointed and included slowing revenue growth … Read more

Was the Stock Market “Oversold Enough”? – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) once again avoided breaking the oversold threshold. Its sharp rebound set a new high for the year.

Stock Market Commentary The week opened with market breadth dropping to within five percentage points of the oversold threshold. This was the closest encounter with oversold since late October, 2023. The stock market never looked back from there. A favorable mid-week inflation report helped propel the stock market with the assistance of declining long-term bond … Read more

Turnaround December Defies Sagging Market Breadth – The Market Breadth

Turnaround December Defies Sagging Market Breadth - The Market Breadth (Credit: Bill Selak, https://www.flickr.com/photos/98274023@N00/2643943441)

Stock Market Commentary It probably seems odd using “turnaround” as a descriptor for December’s trading. After all, the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ continued their respective melt-up trading action. Yet, small caps diverged and trickled downward all week. So I am intrigued by a collection of stocks that are making and often completing turnarounds from … Read more

Overbought Conditions End with Blow-Off Tops – The Market Breadth

blow-off top (Credit: Giuseppe Milo, Giuseppe Milo Geyser - Iceland - Black and white street photography, https://www.flickr.com/photos/87690240@N03/23894931910)

Stock Market Commentary The latest overbought period lasted two days, a typical duration. However, the start of the period was atypical given the fuel from historic heroics from small cap stocks. The end of the overbought period was remarkable by delivering some of the clearest topping signals of the year. Key indices that soared into … Read more