ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary This is the week I finally had to turn bearish on the stock market. The warning signs have piled up too high for me to continue ignoring them. The momentum in the S&P 500 and NASDAQ has been incredibly strong, and that momentum kept me from making this call earlier. However, … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I made the case that a bottom was finally forming after five weeks of selling. The ceasefire announcement that was supposed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz let buyers run free and confirm that bottom. Wednesday’s resulting gap up created post-oversold trading conditions that tell … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Market rotation is improving participation, but a fresh warning from market breadth keeps me cautious. Small caps and defensives are attracting capital while tech weakness quietly undermines leadership. I remain neutral after AT50 reversed from overbought levels, issuing a fresh warning despite bullish index trends. The disconnect between strong indices and … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary The market initially welcomed the Fed’s rate cut, but rising long-term yields recreated the same headwinds seen after the October rate cut. A tired AI trade emerged as Oracle, Broadcom, NVIDIA, and semiconductors sold off sharply, pressuring market breadth. Major indices showed signs of topping despite prior strength, especially the NASDAQ … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Major U.S. equity indices extended gains after a strong end to November, supported by expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Market breadth indicators (AT50, AT200) improved but failed at primary downtrend resistance, signaling lingering internal weakness. Small caps (IWM) outperformed with a breakout to all-time highs, while several major tech … Read more