ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary If you are asking where and when this AI-focused sell-off will end, you are asking the wrong question. Instead of asking for forecasts, the calm and disciplined traders and investors ask about managing risks while seeking opportunity. Thus, the main thing that changes within this framework is … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I have been making the case for months that the AI trade is topping. This last week’s price action added yet more confirmation. While the NASDAQ dropped 2% for the week, nine of the eleven S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by healthcare, materials, and utilities. That … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary The stock market tentatively moved away from oversold’s edge. While small caps clung to critical support, the equal weight S&P 500 rallied most of the week and even ended its primary downtrend. The supportive moves prevented market breadth from revisiting the prior week’s lows even as the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: Punished The Stock Market Summary The Federal Reserve actually did it. America’s central bank channeled Kevin Warsh’s previous jawboning into an actual rate hike. The Fed’s first such move since 2023 was well-priced by the Fed fund futures market, but the stock market was initially caught off-guard. The rate hike punished … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more