ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary: AI Crash The Stock Market Summary First, technology cracked and next the AI trade crashed. The crash is not obvious because the stock market absorbed the crash quickly and, perhaps most importantly, many AI trades are still up significantly for the year despite trading down 30%, 40%, 50% and more from … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary Just like many of you, I have been glued to the World Cup drama. I have been rooting for the United States and several other countries, and it got me thinking about how much the stock market resembles a soccer match: pass, rotate, advance. The current stock … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Indices Last week was largely about the SpaceX IPO (SPCX) and the anticipation surrounding the debut. The stock priced at $135 and a $1.75 trillion market cap, opened at $150, traded almost as high as $177, and closed at $160.96 on 521.8M in trading volume. If SPCX eventually … Read more
The Extremes I look for opportunities when markets overreact to sentiment extremes. The recent drama over the logo change for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc (CBRL) provided a textbook case. A redesign consistent with modern branding aesthetics set off a social media backlash, fueled by cultural politics and amplified by high-profile voices. In the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The current administration’s policy of long-term growth through short-term pain in the form of austerity came into clear focus last week. I earlier introduced this concept in “Growth Scare or Overreaction – An Oversold Market or Something Worse?“. Last week, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent laid out the strategy in detailed economic … Read more