ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary The Stock Market Summary I have been making the case for months that the AI trade is topping. This last week’s price action added yet more confirmation. While the NASDAQ dropped 2% for the week, nine of the eleven S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by healthcare, materials, and utilities. That … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was action-packed. Earnings dominated my focus, and the resulting trading action confirmed why it was important to ignore the bearish signals from market breadth last week. The market is as bullish as ever this year at the index level, even though market breadth still stains the … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Market rotation is improving participation, but a fresh warning from market breadth keeps me cautious. Small caps and defensives are attracting capital while tech weakness quietly undermines leadership. I remain neutral after AT50 reversed from overbought levels, issuing a fresh warning despite bullish index trends. The disconnect between strong indices and … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more
CEO Sam Altman launched OpenAI’s DevDay 2025 with a series of demos showing off the generative AI platform’s latest capabilities. I was particularly intrigued by demonstrations of features developed in partnership with several companies including Figma (FIG), Spotify (SPOT), Hubspot (HUBS), Coursera (COUR), and Zillow Group (ZG) (links go to the relevant section of the … Read more