ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Analysis Summary I summarize what I want to buy in 2026 using core narratives, market breadth and technical analysis. Key themes include commodities, rare earths, biotech, AI exposure, IPOs, beaten-down software stocks, and homebuilders. Market breadth remains cautious in the short term but supportive for longer-term positioning. Major stock indices are testing or … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary The market initially welcomed the Fed’s rate cut, but rising long-term yields recreated the same headwinds seen after the October rate cut. A tired AI trade emerged as Oracle, Broadcom, NVIDIA, and semiconductors sold off sharply, pressuring market breadth. Major indices showed signs of topping despite prior strength, especially the NASDAQ … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Stock market indices, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000, staged sharp recoveries, breaking key resistance levels as holiday spirits fueled by revived rate cut hopes apparently helped to heal a cracked stock market. Market breadth expanded sharply, with the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (AT50) … Read more
Stock Market Commentary We now have a stock market melt-up alongside a government melt-down…and financial markets could not care less. In fact, the stock market can hardly get more bullish with the long-term, mid-term, and short-term uptrends each flashing green and pointing upward. Still, I cannot help checking my peripheral vision for signs of caution. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary After a month of churning, market breadth is wavering again. This slip is just about the only sign that the market cares at all about looming risks from a potential government shutdown. Even the volatility index (VIX) dropped 8.6% on Friday and remains just below where it closed right before the tariff … Read more