ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Last week was bullish, and yet the bearish signal that bothered me early in the year returned. Market breadth flashed bearish even as the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ broke out to all-time highs. This bearish divergence is exactly the setup I did not want to see. The … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary There are no dips allowed in this stock market. A week ago, I labelled the trading environment as “buy-the-dips” because of the psychology of post-oversold trading. Those dips turned out to be hard to find. Only day traders could notice any weakness in the price action. The stock … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I made the case that a bottom was finally forming after five weeks of selling. The ceasefire announcement that was supposed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz let buyers run free and confirm that bottom. Wednesday’s resulting gap up created post-oversold trading conditions that tell … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I am risk off in the coming week because market breadth failed twice at the overbought level. One failure is enough to make me cautious, but two tells me that the market is fighting too hard just to go higher. Moreover, earnings season is in full swing. For … Read more
The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more