ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Analysis Summary Major U.S. equity indices extended gains after a strong end to November, supported by expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Market breadth indicators (AT50, AT200) improved but failed at primary downtrend resistance, signaling lingering internal weakness. Small caps (IWM) outperformed with a breakout to all-time highs, while several major tech … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Stock market indices, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000, staged sharp recoveries, breaking key resistance levels as holiday spirits fueled by revived rate cut hopes apparently helped to heal a cracked stock market. Market breadth expanded sharply, with the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (AT50) … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Media coverage of bubble talk in AI has become increasingly urgent and loud in recent months. Legendary short seller Michael Burry seemed to ring the clarion call when news dropped on Tuesday (November 4) about a massive bearish bet against NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). NVDA fell 4.0% that day. The downward … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market leaned into a melt-up as a constant stream of IPOs signaled risk-on appetite even as a massive downward revisions in jobs in the 12 months through March, 2025 implied more than expected economic weakness ahead. Rate cuts beckon as a result of this broadening weakness, and Wall Street has … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week delivered one of the most bullish one-day expansions of market breadth I have ever seen. On Friday, August 22nd, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell spoke at the Jackson Hole confab and gave financial markets sufficiently dovish signals to reignite a rally that had waned most of the week. Big cap … Read more