ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Analysis Summary I summarize what I want to buy in 2026 using core narratives, market breadth and technical analysis. Key themes include commodities, rare earths, biotech, AI exposure, IPOs, beaten-down software stocks, and homebuilders. Market breadth remains cautious in the short term but supportive for longer-term positioning. Major stock indices are testing or … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Major U.S. equity indices extended gains after a strong end to November, supported by expectations of a December Fed rate cut. Market breadth indicators (AT50, AT200) improved but failed at primary downtrend resistance, signaling lingering internal weakness. Small caps (IWM) outperformed with a breakout to all-time highs, while several major tech … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Stock market indices, including the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Russell 2000, staged sharp recoveries, breaking key resistance levels as holiday spirits fueled by revived rate cut hopes apparently helped to heal a cracked stock market. Market breadth expanded sharply, with the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (AT50) … Read more
Stock Market Commentary I am seeing more and more cracks widening in the stock market, and I am getting increasingly concerned. I am trying to stay bullish because the seasonally strong period has started for the stock market. However, after such a strong August, strong September, and strong October, each of which is historically one … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more