An Overbought Stock Market Stretching Past A Hurting Country – Above the 40 (May 29, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (changed from neutral) Stock Market Commentary It feels surreal to write about the latest machinations … Read more

Elliott Management Packages Common Critiques of Juniper Networks Into One Urgent Proposal

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Right on the heels of proposing to acquire Riverbed Technologies (RVBD) for $19/share, Elliott Management made fresh waves with a plan to restructure Juniper Networks (JNPR). Elliott calculates that its proposal … Read more

Chart Review: Breakdowns for Cisco, Starbucks, Monster, priceline.com, Netflix, and Bed, Bath, and Beyond

Earnings season is creating its usual spectacle of fascinating charts. Here is a sample of the ones catching my eye right now: Breakdowns Cisco Systems (CSCO) On August 16th, CSCO jumped 9.6% in response to a positive earnings report. CSCO has yet to make any progress since then. On Wednesday, the stock confirmed its breakdown … Read more

Time For Yet Another Pairs Trade As Juniper Networks and Cisco Systems Plunge

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} I became so comfortable with the JNPR side of the trade that I never blinked while accumulating a fresh JNPR position over the past two and a half months without … Read more

Pairs Trade Triggered As Cisco Soars to 17-Month Highs Versus Juniper

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 9, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) Juniper Networks (JNPR) is suddenly plunging again. In three days, JNPR has lost 17% and is retesting November’s lows. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Over this same period, rival Cisco Systems (CSCO) has essentially … Read more

Juniper Network’s Surge Triggers Adjustment to Pairs Trade Versus Cisco Systems

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Juniper Networks (JNPR) has surged 24% since I wrote about the stock’s plunge to 2 1/2 year lows. At that time, I claimed it was time to trigger my idea to do a pairs trade … Read more

T2108 Update – October 5, 2011 (Another Typical Oversold Period)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 21% (2nd day of oversold conditions) VIX Status: 38 General (Short-term) Trading Call: Conservative traders open first … Read more

T2108 Update – October 4, 2011 (One Day Bear Market?)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag.) T2108 Status: 18% (2nd day of oversold conditions) VIX Status: 41 (well below 1st day of oversold period) General … Read more

Juniper Networks Hits 2 1/2 Year Lows and Triggers Pairs Trade with Cisco

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Two weeks ago, I described a potential pairs trade between Juniper Networks (JNPR) and Cisco Systems (CSCO) based on the ratio of their prices and relative valuations (see “Pairs Trade: Cisco Systems Is Catching Up … Read more

Pairs Trade: Cisco Systems Is Catching Up to Juniper Networks

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Cisco Systems (CSCO) has steadily declined since reaching a peak in April, 2010. For much of this time, analysts and commentators seemed to focus on company-specific problems as the blame. It seemed competitor Juniper Networks … Read more