Emerging Currencies: Turkish Lira, South African Rand, Mexican Peso

When a financial market gets expensive, traders and investors start broadening their search for low-price opportunities. As an overbought U.S. stock market hits the late stages of an impressive rebound from March’s crash, its stock market looks expensive. Meanwhile, “emerging market” currencies like the Turkish lira, South African rand, and the Mexican have barely started … Read more

Tesla: A Great Time for A Bollinger Band Squeeze

Tesla (TSLA) ended the week with a 5.1% gain as it coils in the middle of a growing Bollinger Band (BB) squeeze.

Technically Speaking “…the most technical trade in almost any instrument has got to be Telsa stock….Investors love the company…there are some long-term and substantial holders…who are not inclined to sell…” – Michael Khouw, CNBC, May 8, 2020 The technicals are the main way I have come to understand and appreciate Tesla (TSLA). Once again, the … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Deeply Into Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (May 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought day #2)AT200 = 16.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are becoming more and more distinct in the stock market. While skeptics and bears … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions Come to A Swift and Ominous End – Above the 40 (May 1, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 68.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 2 days overbought)AT200 = 12.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 37.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve’s last statement on monetary policy may go down as the short-term peak in … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: March Losses Behind, $10K Ahead

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is surging after a convincing 200DMA breakout.

The Bitcoin Price Breakout Bitcoin (BTC/USD) wiped away my wariness about the price action with one clean breakout that finished a reversal of March’s steep losses. For about five days, Bitcoin was teasing its way toward a challenge of overhead resistance at its downtrending 200-day moving average (DMA). During the previous day, Bitcoin gained about … Read more