Forex Critical: The Euro Slices Through Downside Targets

At the end of last month I made the following claim about the euro in reference to EUR/USD: “The slide will likely take some time, but I fully expect EUR/USD to retest its low around 1.089 from September of last year. The current rebound looks like a technical break from many months of decline. At … Read more

Bottoming Efforts: Deutsche Bank Follow-Through and First Solar Breakout

Deutsche Bank (DB) In early October, I pointed out the extreme in bearish sentiment on Deutsche Bank (DB) and the related overcrowding in bearish bets. After DB surged 14% off its latest all-time low, I decided to hold onto my call options which were a play on a bottom. So far, so good. DB printed … Read more

T2108 Update – November 3, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 84% (ninth day of … Read more

T2108 Update – November 1, 2011 (More VIX Revenge)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 72% (seventh day of … Read more

Greek Debt and Mortgage Fraud Keep Deutsche Bank In A Downtrend

(This is an excerpt from an article I published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) It has been a while since I last looked at Deutsche Bank (DB). At that time, I was focused on a pairs trade strategy versus Goldman Sachs (GS). So when I noted last week that GS … Read more

Goldman Sachs Vs. Deutsche Bank Redux

In the wake of the SEC’s charges of fraud against Goldman Sachs (GS), I recommended trying a pairs trade going short GS and long Deutsche Bank (DB). I was betting that either the SEC charges would blow over and DB would rebound sharply, or the gravity of the charges would intensify and GS would sell-off … Read more

Adjustment to Goldman Sachs Vs. Deutsche Bank Pairs Trade

Earlier this week, I suggested setting up a pairs trade between Goldman Sachs (GS) and Deutsche Bank Ag (DB) to take advantage of an apparent growing divergence in performance between the two financial giants. My main recommendation rested on a put spread for GS and a call spread for DB. After thinking about the structure … Read more

Diverging Stocks Set Up Pairs Trade for Goldman Sachs Vs. Deutsche Bank

When news broke of SEC charges of fraud against GS, investors quickly dumped DB out of fear that the SEC would soon target DB for its involvement in creating toxic collateralized debt obligations (CDOs). While the selling in GS has gained momentum, the selling in DB has ever so slightly reversed. On Monday, GS broke … Read more

SEC Makes Up for Lost Time By Going for Maximum Impact on Goldman Sachs Fraud Charge

The news has rippled across the globe that the U.S. Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) finally got around to charging Goldman Sachs with fraud: “The SEC alleges that Goldman Sachs structured and marketed a synthetic collateralized debt obligation (CDO) that hinged on the performance of subprime residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS). Goldman Sachs failed to disclose to … Read more