The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: July, 2014 Edition

It is earnings time for Apple (AAPL). Expectations are undoubtedly high after April’s huge post-earnings surge – the 8.2% one-day gain is, since 2007, second only to the 8.9% gain in April, 2012. The subsequent run-up certainly has me thinking AAPL has confirmed my expectations for eventual all-time highs. It is now time to temper … Read more

A Dramatic Change in Sentiment for Apple

Just ahead of the start of the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), I wrote that I was preparing for a change in Apple’s trading patterns that would impact the Apple Trading Model (ATM). My main interest was in the coming 7-to-1 stock split and the potential for retail traders leaving options alone to trade directly … Read more

Apple Trading Model – Preparing for A Potential Change In Trading Patterns

Trading in Apple is likely to make a notable change in the coming weeks and months. The Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) begins June 2nd. According to my analysis of trading around the WWDC since 2000, traders treat this event as a “buy the rumor, sell the news” kind of event (see “Buy The Rumor, … Read more

T2108 Update (April 30, 2014) – A Stock Market Inching Forward Against Gravity

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (April 7, 2014) – From Overbought to Quasi-Oversold in Three Days Flat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (February 19, 2014) – Here We Go Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 17, 2014) – An Important Juncture

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (November 18, 2013) – A Tantalizing Pause Ahead of 2013’s “Last Stand” for Bears

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (November 13, 2013) – T2108 Finally Wakes Up On New All-Time High (Includes Update On History of All-Time Highs)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Apple POST-Earnings Trading and Technical Review – October, 2013 Edition

The Apple October post-earnings reaction played out amazingly close to the roadmap I provided in “Apple Earnings Technical Review – October, 2013 Edition“…except there were a lot more squiggles between points A and B than I anticipated…and my execution could have better. In this post, I review the action and recount lessons learned. First, a … Read more