An Oversold Stock Market With Plenty of Downside Risk – Above the 40 (September 23, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 19.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold)AT200 = 36.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.6Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary On Monday I switched to a neutral short-term trading call to get mentally ready for a major change … Read more

Stocks Wind Back Up – Above the 40 (July 31, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 35.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Major League Baseball (MLB) may be forced to wind back down, but stocks look like they are winding … Read more

A Two-Speed Stock Market Downshifts Into A Bearish Divergence – Above the 40 (July 10, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 43.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (hit a 2 1/2 – month low the previous day at 34.9%)AT200 = 26.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 27.3Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary A strange and two-speed market got even … Read more

Second Derivative Selling Produces A Stock Market Crash – Above the 40 (March 9, 2020)

AT40 = 4.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (9th oversold day)AT200 = 11.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 54.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The Shake and Bake bottom completely collapsed on Monday in the face of massive second derivative selling. The stock market … Read more

Autozone: When A Downgrade Becomes A Buy Signal

Suddenly, the persistent selling in Autozone (AZO) despite the stock market’s rally makes sense. I just finished marveling at the way sellers took over in AZO after the stock experienced an impressive 6.9% post-earnings gain to a fresh all-time high. A downgrade from Wedbush suddenly put the selling in perspective. Now the chart looks like … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Changing, BlackBerry Pushes On, Facebook On the Edge, Autozone Breaks Out, Fossil Still Abandoned

Here is my latest review of a few charts that have my attention: Apple (AAPL), BlackBerry (BBRY), Facebook (FB), and Autozone (AZO), Fossil (FOSL). Apple (AAPL) Fourteen (14) trading days have passed since Apple (AAPL) made a new low in its standing downtrend from last September’s all-time highs. The stock has closed above the downtrending … Read more

Chart Review: Autozone on the Edge of a Breakout

Autozone (AZO) was a banner stock coming out of the 2001 recession. In 2001 alone, AZO logged a 152% gain. Over the next six years, AZO gained another 67%. During the financial panic in 2008, AZO plunged but did not even come close to erasing all those hard-fought gains. In 2009, the stock barely paused … Read more

Chart Review: Autozone Comes Back, Cliffs Abandons

I watched Autozone (AZO) this morning stage another incredible comeback from post-earnings selling. In pre-market trading, AZO was down over 3% around $345. By the time trading opened, AZO rushed out the gate at $355. While it looked like a bottoming move, I failed to give the trade a try (with a stop below the … Read more