Chart Review: Another Apple Crossroad

On Monday, I was QUICK to declare “a very bearish breakdown for Apple.” Just two days later, the stock has recovered all of Monday’s huge loss and sits on the cusp of a very encouraging recovery or at the precipice of a renewed sell-off. The stock is neatly perched between its 50 and 200-day moving … Read more

ATM: The Apple Trading Model Refined

For over two months, I have gained some valuable experience and lessons putting the formalized Apple Trading Model (ATM) into practice. I have experienced two main challenges: 1) balancing the sometimes conflicting messages of the ATM when using different amounts of historical data, and 2) plain old execution. For challenge #1, I have concluded that … Read more

Post-Icahn and Pre-September News Cycle, Apple Enthusiasm Rushes Back In

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 3, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com This pullback comes ahead of what should be an exciting several weeks for Apple fans. {snip} Perhaps thanks to Carl Icahn’s famous tweets, the enthusiasm for September’s news … Read more

T2108 Update (August 19, 2013) – S&P 500 Stretched Into A Breakdown And Still Quasi-Oversold; Apple Surges Into A Milestone

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

On BlackBerry Eve, A Last Chart Review for RIM: A Mirror Image Of Apple

Research In Motion (RIMM) will change into BlackBerry (BBRY) on Monday, February 4, 2013. It is a change in name that is likely long overdue. I thought I would celebrate by writing a quick chart review that is also long overdue. I have not written about RIMM, uh BBRY, for almost a year. At the … Read more

How to Trade Apple’s Breakdown As Negative Sentiment Grows

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Apple’s rollout of the iPhone5 in China hit a perfect storm on Friday, December 14th. Rumors were flying about lackluster interest and a reduction in orders to suppliers. Analysts released reduced … Read more

Chart Review: Nike Breakout, Apple Breakdown

Nike (NKE) Just 6 months ago, Nike (NKE) posted earnings that disappointed investors to the tune of a 9.4% one-day drop. That drop was unusually large for NKE, but it printed the stock’s low for 2012. The stock steadily ground its way higher and filled its gap down within a month. NKE next stalled at … Read more

Chart Review: Apple FINALLY Closes At A Week High But Resistance Awaits

On Friday, Apple (AAPL) closed at its highs for the day and highs for the week. This has not happened since April 5th (holiday-shortened week) with AAPL a day away from its last all-time closing high. For about the next six weeks Apple sold off almost every day with one important post-earnings pop that delivered … Read more

T2108 Update (May 23, 2012) – Oversold Period Ends While Risks Remain High

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 22.5% (Last oversold period … Read more

Famous Market Technician Gary Smith Uses T2108 Out of Context

I used to follow Gary Smith during the aftermath of the dot-com, tech bubble crash. I always thought of him as a master technician in the stock market. His pieces were only occasionally made available for free through the TheStreet.com and then, after a few years, he “vanished.” I believe he went off to do … Read more