ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Housing Market Intro and Summary Across builder stocks, construction activity, permits, new home sales, and existing home sales, the same pattern persists: the housing market has yet to achieve the escape velocity needed to break free from its multiyear ranges. A month ago, the housing market and related stocks looked like they were clinging to … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary The housing market is currently defined by a split between new vs old, new home sales and existing home sales. Data on builder stocks, housing starts, and new home sales tell a diverging story from existing home sales data across the country. Homebuilder equities remain sensitive to policy headlines but … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary What happened in the housing market in July, 2024? July started with a major downgrade from Citigroup for the housing sector. The downgrade at the time confirmed the implications of a bust for the spring selling season. My lamentations about the bust seemed confirmed by further deterioration in the housing … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary May’s housing market was remarkably strong and represented the peak velocity of the spring selling season. June followed up with more relative strength but a slight sequential cooling as mortgage rates continued a march back to the top of the recent range. Housing starts, new home sales, and existing home … Read more
Housing Market Intro and Summary “When will the housing market crash?” I hear this question from people astounded by the housing market’s strong performance during the pandemic. The housing market is not heading into a crash anytime soon. Demand remains strong, inventories are scarce, mortgage rates are rock bottom, home buyers are in strong financial … Read more