ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary We now have a stock market melt-up alongside a government melt-down…and financial markets could not care less. In fact, the stock market can hardly get more bullish with the long-term, mid-term, and short-term uptrends each flashing green and pointing upward. Still, I cannot help checking my peripheral vision for signs of caution. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week was billed as another marquee Fed week. While decision day brought a lot of intraday volatility, the churn became a mere speedbump as market breadth yawned and the stock market melt-up continued. The main message I heard from the Fed was an acknowledgement of an economy weak enough to warrant … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market leaned into a melt-up as a constant stream of IPOs signaled risk-on appetite even as a massive downward revisions in jobs in the 12 months through March, 2025 implied more than expected economic weakness ahead. Rate cuts beckon as a result of this broadening weakness, and Wall Street has … Read more
Stock Market Commentary In just three months, the stock market has transformed from fragile to fearless. Friday’s return to overbought territory, on the heels of another jobs report that beat “consensus expectations”, underlined the market’s fearless bullishness. The jobs report made imminent rate cuts even less likely. Along with that prospect, bond yields nudged higher … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market resolved one cliffhanger, a hovering just below resistance at 200-day moving averages (DMAs) on the major indices, and moved on to another. A large surge in reaction to a pause in China vs U.S. trade hostilities sent the major indices gapping right over resistance and directly into the overbought … Read more