ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Analysis Summary I summarize what I want to buy in 2026 using core narratives, market breadth and technical analysis. Key themes include commodities, rare earths, biotech, AI exposure, IPOs, beaten-down software stocks, and homebuilders. Market breadth remains cautious in the short term but supportive for longer-term positioning. Major stock indices are testing or … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Media coverage of bubble talk in AI has become increasingly urgent and loud in recent months. Legendary short seller Michael Burry seemed to ring the clarion call when news dropped on Tuesday (November 4) about a massive bearish bet against NVIDIA (NVDA) and Palantir (PLTR). NVDA fell 4.0% that day. The downward … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The protracted shutdown of the U.S. Federal government has dragged past three weeks and Federal workers have now missed their first paychecks of this battle. The stock market rallied to an all-time high when the shutdown started, and it certainly seems to care even less after recovering from a 1-day mini panic … Read more
Stock Market Commentary After a month of churning, market breadth is wavering again. This slip is just about the only sign that the market cares at all about looming risks from a potential government shutdown. Even the volatility index (VIX) dropped 8.6% on Friday and remains just below where it closed right before the tariff … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week was billed as another marquee Fed week. While decision day brought a lot of intraday volatility, the churn became a mere speedbump as market breadth yawned and the stock market melt-up continued. The main message I heard from the Fed was an acknowledgement of an economy weak enough to warrant … Read more