Oil Looms Over Everything: Energy Prices Pressure Stocks, Commodities, and Bonds – The Market Breadth

oil looms over everything - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Oil prices loom over financial markets. Oil prices are being driven largely by whether the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed following Iran’s retaliation against attacks by the U.S. and Israel. The inverse correlation over the last two weeks has been clear: oil prices up, stock prices down … Read more

Market Fears Expand: War, Soaring Oil, Lost Jobs, AI Tops Out – The Market Breadth

volatility index (VIX)

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Market fears expanded last week as converging headwinds took their toll on a market that insists on buying every dip. The best example of buying persistence came with the market’s first regular trading session after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. The S&P 500 gapped down at Monday’s … Read more

Market Breadth Fades After Small Caps Lead Breadth Breakout

market breadth fades after small caps lead breadth breakout

The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more

A Nervous Calm in the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

a nervous calm for the stock market

Stock Market Commentary The stock market last week was full of a nervous calm. Fed Chair Jerome Powell seemed to muffle the market’s mood after warning that meaningful inflation is yet to come as a result of tariffs. The expiration of the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs looms over the market with just one major … Read more

Overbought Conditions End with Fresh Market Risk – The Market Breadth

overbought conditions end with fresh market risks

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s fearless streak met fresh geopolitical headwinds that significantly raised the risk quotient. Tensions surged as Israel bombarded Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and Iran retaliated, spiking oil prices and triggering a market sell-off that, while sharp, could have and should have been a lot worse. This fresh market risk is a … Read more