Buy Dips: The Psychology of Post-Oversold Trading – The Market Breadth

buy dips - the psychology of post-oversold trading - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I made the case that a bottom was finally forming after five weeks of selling. The ceasefire announcement that was supposed to reopen the Strait of Hormuz let buyers run free and confirm that bottom. Wednesday’s resulting gap up created post-oversold trading conditions that tell … Read more

Introducing PAIROS: A Multifaceted Measure of AI’s Impact on Software Companies

PAIROS - open hand

Introduction I have been working on a framework to make sense of AI’s impact on the enterprise software industry. The ongoing SaaSpocalypse caused by an AI Panic has given this research extra urgency because I suspect the sell-off has created contrarian opportunities to buy impacted stocks for significant upside gains in coming years. I created … Read more

Atlassian Layoffs Reshape Its Skill Mix While the Contrarian Thesis Holds

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) is down 53% year-to-date after losing 33% in 2025.

On March 11th after the market close, Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) announced a 10% layoff. The company reiterated guidance to assure investors that the corporate actions do not reflect problems with the business. In his letter to employees explaining the layoffs, CEO and Co-Founder​​ Mike Cannon-Brookes also reminded the company of its strong momentum from the … Read more

IBM Suffers Historic Loss As AI Panic’s Latest Victim

As a friend of mine said, the AI Panic has officially reached its silly season. International Business Machines Corporation (IBM) lost 13.2% on the first day of the trading week in the wake of news from Anthropic about an AI-driven tool to modernize COBOL code for IBM mainframes. According to Yahoo Finance, IBM last lost … Read more

Tariff Showdown: Buyers, Sellers at a Stalemate – The Market Breadth

tariff showdown - buyers, sellers at a stalemate

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The Supreme Court finally issued a judgement on the President’s tariffs enacted under the cover of the International Economic Emergency Powers Act (IEEPA). In a 6-3 decision, the court invalidated the tariffs thus making them illegal. The news came first thing Friday morning and injected a little bit … Read more