ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Mounting pressure on software stocks stands out as weakening market breadth coincides with multiple key technical breakdowns. A neutral stance remains appropriate as market breadth continues to deteriorate, offsetting selective AI-driven strength in semiconductors and small caps. Buying decisions stay highly selective, with technical confirmation guiding risk while bearish signals continue … Read more
Stock Market Commentary I am seeing more and more cracks widening in the stock market, and I am getting increasingly concerned. I am trying to stay bullish because the seasonally strong period has started for the stock market. However, after such a strong August, strong September, and strong October, each of which is historically one … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The market staged a quick rebound this week after the “bears break-in” two Fridays ago. Most losses reversed by Monday’s close as buyers stepped in with conviction and quickly repaired the indices. However, the bounce masked the on-going failure of market breadth to keep pace with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ, … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market is a cauldron of contradictions and divergences. Breakdowns below key support levels abound. Stocks suffer post-earnings fades even after companies report strong results, especially in both beaten up growth stocks and resilient big cap tech. Yet, the S&P 500 just rises above the steady erosion of market breadth with … Read more