Support for Another Round of Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more

Airline Stocks: Trading Ideas After the End of Parabolic Moves

The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) lost 7.5% but held on to support at bottom of its upper Bollinger Band channel.

Airline stocks were on a tear during a week of panic buying and catch-up trades. From worst to first, in less than a month airline stocks went from setting fresh multi-year lows to 3+ month highs on the heels of parabolic moves. The U.S. Global Jets ETF (JETS) summarizes the contours of the moves. From … Read more

TRI Pointe Group Provides Early Evidence of V-Shaped Housing Recovery

I still can hardly believe my eyes, but it seems that a V-shaped recovery is truly underway in the housing market. In my last Housing Market Review, I wrote about housing-related stocks printing V-shaped recoveries ahead of data suggesting that such a recovery was underway. Last week’s sales activity report from home builder TRI Pointe … Read more

Australian Dollar: A Fading Pandemic Supports A V-Shaped Recovery

“Other scenarios for the recovery phase can readily be envisaged. Given the relatively rapid decline in the number of new COVID-19 cases in Australia, it is possible to contemplate an upside scenario where most domestic restrictions on activity are relaxed a little sooner and the economy recovers somewhat faster than in the baseline scenario. The greater … Read more

Overbought Holding Pattern for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (May 22, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 73.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 20.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market had a promising start with a large gap up to … Read more