Bitcoin: A False $12K Breakout Creates the Pause That Refreshes

Trees do not grow to the sky – even cryptocurrency trees with Bitcoin leaves. The old adage describes a core rule of the physics of price momentum. Whether buying or selling, traders and investors eventually exhaust themselves – whether existing resources are too low to maintain buying pressure or motivated sellers finally run out of … Read more

Stocks Wind Back Up – Above the 40 (July 31, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 51.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 35.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Major League Baseball (MLB) may be forced to wind back down, but stocks look like they are winding … Read more

Bitcoin: One More Bet On A Continued U.S. Dollar Breakdown

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is surging through a long overdue breakout of the $10,000 level.

The U.S. Dollar Index Breaks Down The U.S. dollar broke down last week. The weekly chart below shows the U.S. dollar index (DXY) closed last week at a near 2-year low. Numerous anti-dollar bets are gaining fast thanks to the U.S. dollar’s breakdown. The cryptocurrency Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is joining the party. Bitcoin joins the anti-dollar … Read more

Stock Market Transitions to Key Breakouts and Setups At Support – Above the 40 (July 17, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 32.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.7Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Last week started with a growl and ended quietly. The stock market quickly transitioned from confirming a bearish … Read more

Housing Sentiment Completes V-Shaped Recovery, Stocks Following

The Housing Market Index (HMI) soared to 72 in July. The 14-point move completed a V-shaped recovery in the sentiment of home builders. Unlike the reaction to the surprisingly strong June HMI, the reaction to July’s surprise was definitely positive. The Message in Home Builder Sentiment The National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) explained the … Read more