Atlassian Is Poised to Survive the SaaSpocalypse

Atlassian Corporation (TEAM) has lost nearly half its value in just the first 6 weeks of 2026 and now trades at prices last seen in December, 2018.

The SaaSpocalypse, or what I sometimes generally call the AI Panic, is a watershed investing event. Whole fortunes are stumbling down a path of destruction in this moment. Yet, the survivors of this indiscriminate selling will yield tremendous returns in coming years. Panic does not distinguish between fragile business models and structurally durable platforms. In … Read more

The Market Is Thrashing – Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous: The Market Breadth

The Market Is Thrashing - Fragmentation Is Getting Dangerous - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Chaotic trading continued last week. Some segments of the market are doing extremely poorly and other segments of the market that are doing extremely well. A market rotation has turned into stark divergence hidden by major indices which are mainly thrashing about. I see three major signals. One, … Read more

AI Panic Hits Trucking Stocks: Is This Multi-Billion Selloff an Overreaction?

AI Panic Hits Trucking Stocks: Is This Multi-Billion Selloff an Overreaction?

The Catalyst: Algorhythm Holdings (RIME) Algorhythm Holdings, a micro-cap (now worth almost $5M) former karaoke machine company, announced its SemiCab AI platform can handle 400% more freight volume without adding staff. This offering is part of the company’s attempt to tap into a $3 trillion industry that the company claims wastes $1 trillion. Algorhythm claims … Read more

Market Relief Is Here. Not Clarity. – The Market Breadth

Market Relief Is Here - Not Clarity - The Market Breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary I switched to “risk off” and cautiously bearish in late January. The subsequent bearish trading action unfolded mainly “under the hood” of the major indices from late January through the beginning of last week, before accelerated selling emerged. A major market rotation away from tech stocks started before … Read more

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

A Thoma Bravo Lens On Sorting SaaSpocalypse Survivors

Thoma Bravo’s Buying Framework Amid the AI Panic The AI-driven fear in software stocks is palpable with daily headlines and relentless product releases from the AI disruptors. The buying opportunities are broadening so fast that I have to create and maintain a structured framework for separating the survivors from the laggards. As a part of … Read more