Stocks Unwind Ahead of Key Stimulus Decisions and Earnings – Above the 40 (July 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 53.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 33.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 25.8Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), barely budged all week … Read more

A Trampling at the Frontlines of the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 24, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 47.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (2-month low)AT200 = 21.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 33.8Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The damage in the stock market is only visible upon close examination. The top technicals for the … Read more

Australian Dollar: A Fading Pandemic Supports A V-Shaped Recovery

“Other scenarios for the recovery phase can readily be envisaged. Given the relatively rapid decline in the number of new COVID-19 cases in Australia, it is possible to contemplate an upside scenario where most domestic restrictions on activity are relaxed a little sooner and the economy recovers somewhat faster than in the baseline scenario. The greater … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Stretching Past A Hurting Country – Above the 40 (May 29, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (changed from neutral) Stock Market Commentary It feels surreal to write about the latest machinations … Read more

Overbought Holding Pattern for the Stock Market – Above the 40 (May 22, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 73.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 20.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market had a promising start with a large gap up to … Read more